The rapid development of the lighting industry in 2013 led to the full play of the upstream, middle and lower reaches of the production capacity, and also caused the overcapacity to slow down. This year, the scale of the entire LED industry is more than 200 billion, and will exceed 320 billion next year. Indoor lighting and outdoor lighting account for a large proportion.
According to the LED industry research report, the overall output value of the LED industry is expected to increase by about 20 in the fourth quarter of this year. The total industry scale of the year is more than 260 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28. The annual output of LED indoor lighting will increase by 110% year-on-year. Although the LED indoor lighting output base is increasing year by year, the output value growth rate will remain at around 60.
However, behind a series of bright data, the problem of not increasing profits in the industry is still outstanding. Experts said that although there were a lot of orders in 2013 and revenues increased, the price war was fierce and corporate profits were getting thinner.
The data shows that the 20 listed companies in the Shenwan LED industry achieved a total operating income of 14.195 billion yuan in the first three quarters of this year, an increase of 20% from the 11.81 billion yuan in the first three quarters of last year; the net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 1.687 billion yuan. In the first three quarters of last year, the increase of 1.59 billion yuan was 6. The profit growth rate was significantly lower than the revenue growth rate.
In this regard, the industry generally believes that price wars, increased period expenses and reduced government subsidies are important reasons for LED companies to increase revenues.
However, Tsinghua Tongfang Vice President Wang Lianghai and Tiantong Holdings Chairman Pan Jianqing both said that the past two years have been the most painful period of the industry. After this process, the industry's profit situation has improved.
Zhu Bingzhong, vice president of Qinshang Optoelectronics, also pointed out that since the third quarter, the company's profits have improved, and we will gradually increase investment in channels. Other aspects will also increase investment, and the future trend will be better.
Li Guoping, chairman of Guangzhou Hongli Optoelectronics, said that he will continue to invest money, purchase and optimize equipment, and gain scale advantages to reduce overall costs and obtain better profits.
In the case of rapid growth in demand for LED lighting terminals, the concentration of the industry has not increased significantly. It is understood that there are about 50 domestic LED upstream enterprises, 1,750 mid-stream packaging enterprises, and 15,000 downstream application enterprises. However, at present, no one has a market share of more than 5.
Experts predict that enterprises that switch from traditional lighting to LED lighting will reach a peak next year, and the number of enterprises focusing on LED sales will also reach a peak. As market competition intensifies, industry consolidation will continue to increase, and most upstream companies will die. The final survival rate of local chip manufacturers is expected to be around 30; in the middle reaches, enterprises can only survive if they form a strategic alliance with the downstream, more than 1,000 LED packaging companies will be eliminated; downstream application companies will also face a major reshuffle, and LED lighting companies are expected to be in the next 5 years. Death will exceed 50, and traditional lighting companies will die more than 30.
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