Titanium Dioxide in November or Continue to Improve

According to the overall situation and price trend of the titanium dioxide market, chemical branch Titanium Dioxide product analysts analyze the following reasons:

1, within the industry

(1) A large area of ​​anatase has risen more recently and Long Qi has temporarily stabilized. In October, natural days are less than a week's workday. Since the end of September, there have been more than 20 manufacturers in China who have issued price increase notices. The difference from the past is that the manufacturers that have soared this year are mainly anatase-type, and the rate of increase is mostly between 300-500 yuan/ton. To catch up with the rhythm of the pace of rising rutile prices, some manufacturers have indicated that the stock is tight, and most of the prices have been above 10,000 yuan/ton. The current pace of price increase is very similar to that of the previous one. The main manufacturer, Dongjia, should actively increase, and the Lili chlorination method and anatase product should be used in conjunction with the Lido atmosphere. After that, if Long Hao cooperates with the boost, it will lift a small upsurge. But in the end it did not announce a rise, but the market bullish atmosphere did not diminish.

(2) No dragon companies led, and some manufacturers rose in October. In late October, the market price of titanium dioxide continued to rise continuously. Manufacturers in Guangxi, Sichuan, Zhejiang, Henan, and Shandong announced price increases of RMB 400-600/ton, which is still anatase titanium dioxide production. The business is relatively positive. Nearly five manufacturers have risen in October for the second time. The overall price atmosphere in the market is still relatively strong. Now it can meet rutile titanium dioxide below 13,000 yuan/ton (including tax). If it can be used, then Cherish it.

(3) After October, the market price may rise again. The current market wait and see mood is heavier, and the market outlook is generally ambiguous. Titanium dioxide analysts believe that the market outlook will basically remain the same, because if you choose to cut prices at the end of the year, the risk factor should be doubled, and the company’s carrier should collect payments. Impulse, if superimposed on price reduction, is likely to cause retaliatory price cuts. The price market prefers to act as a slow cow. Even if it fails to rise, it will not be possible to cut prices. If prices are once reduced, the whole year’s price increase results will be “discarded” in an instant. In addition, the October Environmental Protection Group entered Shandong, Shandong titanium dioxide producer or "blue thin, mushrooms."

(4) "Dragonfly" fits to create Chinese titanium dioxide aircraft carrier. On October 28, the official "fitting" news conference of Longxi Lilian was held in Zhengzhou. The merged company's name was "Longxi Lilian Co., Ltd." and the abbreviation of the securities was changed to "Longli Li". Named after the title, in the abbreviation also gave a "joint", Li Lilian is also considered a great sacrifice, but it is worth it, such a grand event, as Li Lifeng, one of Li Lilian's most characteristic important shareholder Perhaps it should be attended, in order to cater to the current market atmosphere of Lido, the three joint efforts to engage in a "big rise", even if not three, after the joint "Long Yuli" after the meeting may have prices to follow up. Titanium dioxide giants in China may have attracted worldwide attention, and will accelerate the pace of China's titanium dioxide industry upgrade, accelerate the elimination of backward production capacity and increase production concentration, the future market will be steady, healthy and sustainable development of titanium dioxide.

(5) Yunnan Zechang is expected to resume production in December. From January to October 2016, it experienced a total of more than a dozen price increases. Sulfuric acid rutile titanium dioxide had risen around 4,000 yuan/ton, and most manufacturers had profit. Yunnan Zechang titanium, which had been shut down for nearly 2 years The industry is expected to resume production in December 2016. The titanium dioxide industry will have 50,000 tons of production capacity to be awakened.

(6) Extensive environmental protection policy checks. According to the Ministry of Environmental Protection's Environmental Supervision Bureau, from October 21st onwards, 20 provinces and cities including Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi and other provinces and cities will be inspected for the implementation of key environmental protection law supervision work. Environmental protection will gradually tighten, and titanium dioxide producers will release or suffer Limited, the price market has consolidated a strong bullish factor.

(7) Huntsman pulled up globally in 2017. Huntsman announced on October 25 that it will increase the price of its titanium dioxide (titanium dioxide) pigments sold worldwide, effective January 1, 2017, or see the contract requirements. The specific price adjustment plan is as follows: Europe: increase 150 euros / ton or 160 US dollars / ton; Asia Pacific, Africa, Latin America and the Middle East: increase 160 US dollars / ton; North America: increase 0.07 US dollars / pound.

(8) In September 2016, the export of titanium dioxide in China decreased by 3.54%. According to statistics provided by the General Administration of Customs, in September 2016, the import volume of titanium dioxide in China was 14,777.642 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 29.84%, a year-on-year increase of 11.56%, and the average import price was approximately US$2614.3/ton. Total titanium dioxide in January-September 2016 Imports of 136,418.26 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 15.51%. In September 2016, China's titanium dioxide exports were 63,106.955 tons, an increase of 56.13% year-on-year and a decrease of 3.54% compared with the previous period. The average export price was approximately US$1,780.11 per ton. In January-September 2016, the total export of titanium dioxide was 540,603.305 tons, a year-on-year increase of 35.98%.

2, within the industry

After a slight increase in the price of titanium concentrate in October, it remained stable. At the beginning of October, the price of some miners in the Panxi area raised their prices, which was around RMB 20/ton, but the actual transaction did not increase, and it immediately entered the consolidation period. At the beginning of the month, some miners stated that the recent inquiry increased, mainly due to the gradual production recovery of the downstream titanium dioxide producers of the previous deadline, their own inventories were consumed, the demand for raw material titanium concentrate was increased, and titanium dioxide was added in October. It rose again, just to meet the rising mentality of miners. In addition, Panzhihua Steel’s Chongqing Titanium Industry is officially put into production, and titanium concentrates have to be recovered, which will provide more support for the titanium concentrate price market. When the supply and demand of titanium concentrates is relatively balanced, there is still no way to buy goods for one reason: Cash, although titanium dioxide is about to enter the theoretical off-season, miners want to pay back in such a relatively strong market, that is to say, How can you buy cash? The increase in the cost of logistics and logistics + inquiries has increased + the rise of downstream titanium dioxide sporadic, and in November will usher in the theoretical off-season of the downstream titanium dioxide market, due to environmental pressure in some areas, the production capacity can not be released under the "price If the mine needs to be lowered, the Panzhihua region will have to look at the new project of Panzhihua Steel Titanium. At the end of 2016, we could see the situation where the titanium dioxide producers laughed and the titanium concentrate traders cried. At present, the price of Ti-38 ore in Panxi area is around 530 yuan/ton (excluding tax), and the price of 46 grade 10 titanium concentrate is between 810 and 850 yuan/ton (excluding tax), and the 47 grade titanium concentrate price In the 900-930 yuan / ton (excluding tax) room.

According to statistics provided by the General Administration of Customs, in September 2016, the import volume of titanium ore and its concentrate was 194,132.865 tons, a year-on-year increase of 62.68% and a decrease of 32.84% compared with the previous period. From January to September 2016, a total of 1,853,328 tons of titanium ore were imported, a year-on-year increase of 33.06. %. In September 2016, China exported 796 tons of titanium ore concentrate and concentrate, which was a decrease of 1.36% year-on-year and an increase of 20.92% from the previous month. From January to September 2016, a total of 107.47 tons of titanium ore was exported, a year-on-year decrease of 63.05%.

In October, the domestic titanium dioxide price market continued to rebound. Chemicals branch Titanium dioxide analyst Yang Xun believes that: October prices have not yet been responded to by Sichuan Longxi, market participants generally speculate on a bullish atmosphere, aimed at stimulating demand and recouping cash, southwest Longqi has closed a single week, plus The environmental protection tends to be strict, raw materials and logistics costs rise, and the external titanium dioxide giants increase their prices again. The “Dragonfly” fits, and after the “celebrations” on the 28th, or Qila rises, creating a “double happiness” trend, the current titanium dioxide price The market bullish atmosphere is still heavier. In the short term, the atmosphere of Lido immersed in the whole year in October did not awaken. In November, the price hike continued unabated. Titanium dioxide, the “financial product” or “slow cow,” was bullish.

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